A less
fortunate day than Thursday with both Ballywatt and Ballybough Pat finishing 2nd.
Stake was returned for Ballywatt as on e/w at 6/1 but annoying to lose on Pat
as he ran a nice race, beaten by a somewhat rejuvenated Fair Along. The rest of
the day wasn’t much brighter as Bold Cuffs pulled hard for the first circuit
and jumped poorly to be tailed off, and Prince of Pirates again flopped to
finish 3rd. Hopefully tomorrow is more fruitful and returns a winner
or 2! After
seeing the monster of a horse Diggers Mate in the bumper yesterday the 2 beasts
in the picture below made him look small! I don’t imagine they’ll be popping
many hurdles or fences though!
Saturday
sees a more appealing card for me in terms of fancying a few, though not in the
first race at 12.15pm which I am leaving out completely! The 12.50pm only has 6
runners but could still be competitive and the Anthony Honeyball trained Eleven
Fifty Nine is consistent and very able, but I feel Call Me A Star is the one to
be on. At the stable tour yesterday it seemed connections were very bullish
about this mare and she could be one of the best her trainer has handled. She
can be keen but is expected to give a very good account of herself which is
reflected by the skinny 7/4 I’ve been forced to take!
From
one strong fancy to another as Rolling Aces is a horse I’ve been waiting for
and he goes in the 1.25pm Handicap Chase. Having not done much over hurdles
(always going to be a chaser), this fella will be expected to improve for
fences (he won a Point in Ireland) and ran well on debut over the bigger
obstacles when seemingly outpaced in the 19f contest on good to soft, before
staying on like a train at the finish! The step up to 22f should bring about
improvement and I’d say there’s a fair amount more to come over fences now he
goes handicapping. I have Godsmejudge and Merry King down as others that are
potentially on the up, and Barry Geraghty’s mount Seven Woods could well have
more to come, but I’d hope Rolling Aces is good enough to see them off and have
gone each way at 6/1.
Death,
taxes and Big Bucks! 3 things guaranteed in life! Big Bucks is Big Bucks, so
the 2pm is not worth discussing.
The
2.35pm is interesting and I feel it could be a good day for the Ditcheat camp
as Salubrious could take the beating in this (potentially notching up a treble
for Paul Nicholls if Rolling Aces and Big Bucks oblige!). Salubrious is held in
high regard by his connections but wasn’t right last season (had a cracked
tooth I believe). He ran fairly well on reappearance in the Silver Trophy at
Chepstow but his trainer has stated he will improve a lot for it. I’m certain
there is more to come and can see him taking this race which has been on the
agenda a while so he’s sure to be primed for it so I have backed at 3/1.
The
Hennessy Gold Cup isn’t one of my favourite races of the season and this year
is no different. Bobs Worth will need to be very good to defy his mark – but he
could well be! If he wins this you’d have to fancy him to be a serious Gold Cup
contender come March. However, at 4/1 I won’t be siding with the Seven Barrows
inmate and will instead be taking 8/1 e/w about Hold On Julio in the 3.10pm contest. This horse was
talked up a fair bit before Cheltenham in March but failed to deliver, but on
Thursday morning’s stable tour it sounded like he is expected to run a huge
race tomorrow. He will be fine on the ground and had a nice reappearance run
when 3rd at Cheltenham recently (he was 10kg heavier than his
winning weight last season) so is on course for this race. He has a lovely
racing weight of 10st 8lb which is positive for his chances and he could be
very well handicapped so a big run is expected! Frisco Depot is the other
interesting horse and may be worth a small e/w saver.
Ulck
Du Lin catches the eye (Nicholls yet again!) in the closing 3.40pm affair as he
ran a bit free and probably needed the run when tiring over 2m6f at Stratford
last time. The drop in trip should tomorrow and at 5/1 is worth following,
though Michael Flips (7/1) is another I like as he has some smart looking form
behind the likes of Cue Card and For Non Stop.
Newbury
aside, I’m looking forward to seeing Mount Benbulben run in the 1.55pm at Fairyhouse as I see
him as a horse with bundles of potential for chasing and he’s the apple of his
County Meath based handler’s eye! As exciting is the Fairyhouse card for Sunday
which hosts a number of Gr1 races and will no doubt be extremely useful in providing
clues for the rest of the season.
Newbury
has been great so far with decent racing (particularly the Novice Chases both
days, Dynaste [pictured above being readied before his race] looking ultra
impressive in the competitive affair today), dry weather and a fair crowd
(though I’m sure tomorrow will be crazily busy!!). One more day to go and then
back home so will be writing some new posts including a review of the Hennessy
meeting and horses to take from it, my stable tour at Barbury Castle, and maybe
a few early thoughts on potential festival candidates. But until then I shall
be making the most of Newbury (even bumped into a few reindeer on the way back
to base this evening!) so enjoy the racing over the weekend and be lucky!
In summary, tomorrow's fancied horses are:
NEWBURY
12.50pm - Call Me A Star
1.25pm - Rolling Aces
2.35pm - Salubrious
3.10pm - Hold On Julio
3.40pm - Ulck Du Lin
FAIRYHOUSE
1.55pm - Mount Benbulben